SouthWest Presidential Election Prediction; APC to win major states – Oyedeji Nurudeen Ademola

The core business people on the Island are against Pres. Buhari because of the Economy Recession of 2015 which affected a lot of businesses.

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The travail of APC in Ogun state is well publicised.

The travail of the ruling party in Ogun State is well publicised.

From the day Dapo Abiodun emerge as APC candidate to the day Governor Amosun”s preferred candidate Adekunle Akinlade move to APM, there has been one drama or the other.

The crisis in PDP in the state is also on another level entirely.

Buruji Kashamu and Ladi Adebutu has been in court in the last four months to determine the actual candidate of the party. It is safe to say that the two major parties in the state are in crisis.

This is where “Osinbajo” factor will come in to play. Since tribe and religion are still the major factors in Nigeria politics, I think Ogun state people will likely vote APC because of “Osinbajo”. There is also this popular joke trending “VP is better than SGF”. The outcome the election would favour Buhari 70% – Atiku 30%

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Engineer Seyi Makinde has been the Alpha and Omega of PDP in Oyo state since the exit of Ladoja.

The structure of APC has also weakened with the defection of Unity forum members to ADC.

There is no doubt that Buhari is still popular at the grassroots in Oyo state. Atiku has a lot of supporters too especially in Ibadan.

I strongly believe Buhari will win in Ogbomosho and Oke Ogun. Ibadan votes will be shared between the two parties.
The outcome the election would favour Buhari 60% – Atiku 40%

The last two elections in Osun state has shown clearly that PDP is formidable in the state. Of course, APC has been ruling the state in the last eight years.

Modulated salary structure has been the greatest undoing of APC in Osun State. It is a close call here, Buhari and Atiku both share equal chance 50%-5%

I still don’t understand why former Governor of Ondo state
Olusegun Mimiko left PDP for ZLP. He would have been a major factor in this election.

Mobilization will be key if PDP will get anything from Ondo state.

Though Gov. Akeredolu has been battling the National Chairman of APC over automatic ticket for some national assembly members but will not stop the party (APC) from winning the state. Buhari 65% – Atiku 35%

Only Ekiti state voted massively for Pres. Jonathan in 2015 presidential election in Southwest.

Gov. Fayose was the major factor in 2015, Dr. Fayemi is the man in charge now. PDP is still strong in the state with the structure of Gov. Fayose and Senator Olujimi.
Buhari and Atiku both share equal chance 50%-5%

Lagos State is the spiritual home of APC. The structure of the party alone can easily consume an opposition. Though in 2015, PDP has the best showing in the state all thanks to the massive population of South East entourage.

The Igbo people turn out for Pres. Jonathan in large numbers. It is now left to be seen how they will support Atiku and PDP with the same zeal and passion.

The core business people on the Island are against Pres. Buhari because of the Economy Recession of 2015 which affected a lot of businesses.

The main support for APC will come from the most populous part of the state e.g Alimosho, Agege, Mushin and Ikorodu, Ifako Ijaye and Kosofe Area. Buhari 60% – Atiku 40%

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